Analysis of Inflation Rates During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic Using the K-Means Clustering Method and Kruskal-Wallis Test

Authors

  • Riska Nuril Fadhila UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya
  • Nurissaidah Ulinnuha UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya
  • Moh Hafiyusholeh UIN Sunan Ampel Surabaya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.14421/fourier.2025.142.56-67

Keywords:

Inflation, K-Means Clustering, Kruskal-Wallis

Abstract

Inflation occurs when excessive demand results in an overall increase in the prices of goods and services. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the inflation rate in Indonesia leveled off due to the weakening economy. However, in 2022, there was a spike in post-COVID-19 inflation due to increased public demand as pandemic conditions improved. Stable inflation is a requirement for sustainable economic growth and improving people's welfare. In handling inflation problems in various regions, variables and unique circumstances in each region are very important. This research aims to determine whether significant differences exist in the clustering of inflation rates in Indonesia during and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The research results using the Kruskal-Wallis test and the K-Means method obtained that the clustering of inflation rates with k=2 provides good results, as indicated by the Silhouette Coefficient value of 0.66. In addition, there is a significant difference between the current (2020-2021) and post (2022-2023) years of COVID-19 as evidenced by the Kruskal-Wallis test with a p-value < 0.05.

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Published

2025-11-21

How to Cite

Fadhila, R. N., Ulinnuha, N., & Hafiyusholeh, M. (2025). Analysis of Inflation Rates During and After the COVID-19 Pandemic Using the K-Means Clustering Method and Kruskal-Wallis Test. Jurnal Fourier, 14(2), 56–67. https://doi.org/10.14421/fourier.2025.142.56-67

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